實德金融策略研究部

油價簡評

2015-09-30

油價跟隨金價的弱勢

WTI美國西德州輕質原油價格在今年三月開始,曾經由每桶$42美元水平反彈回升至每桶$62美元的上方,但後勁不繼,在上月更回落至$37美元水平。

既然原油又被稱為黑色黃金,那麼,黃金價格跟原油價格的變動應會有其關連性,觀乎WTI油價在過往八年的走勢,其較大的升勢或跌幅在大多數時間都走在黃金價格之前。

以金價的月線圖作推斷,金價向下發展的勢頭應會延續,若WTI油價繼續較金價先行下跌,配合著維持現狀的原油供應之假設,WTI油價在短期間的走勢應會偏弱,更有可能跌穿上月低位每桶$37美元的支持。

WTI美國西德州輕質原油價格跟金價月線圖比較:




郭啟倫

電郵research@successfn.com

(The above displayed are just writers’ own opinions and for readers’ reference only. Financial markets are volatile and please be careful of the risks.)NOTICE

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