岑建南

黃金每日策略

2015-11-18

黃金每日策略    (黃金直落1065再創逾5年新低)

金市昨日回顧

 

美國10月消費者物價指數(CPI)三個月來首次出現攀升,這也加劇了市場對於美聯儲(FED)12月加息的預期。不過,美國10月工業產出不及預期,但分析認為這並不能阻礙美聯儲年底加息的計劃,國際金價因此承壓並跌破1070美元水平。

 

路透隨後評論稱,美國10月季調後CPI月率經過連續兩個月下降後,錄得上漲,主要是因為汽油和其他一些商品成本上漲所致;表明美元走強和油價下滑對美國經濟的拖累影響開始消退,10月通脹數據溫和上漲將進一步支撐美聯儲12月將開始加息的預期。

 

數據公布之後,美國聯邦基金利率期貨價格暗示交易員預計美聯儲在今年12月加息機率為70%,此前為68%。行情方面,美元指數刷新日內高位至99.72,美國國債價格擴大跌幅,國際金價進一步刷新1065美元/盎司的逾5年新低,銀價也跟隨刷新14.09美元/盎司的逾2個月低位,並創下有史以來最長連跌紀錄。

 

 

黃金區間 10651078

白銀區間 14.114.4

(The above displayed are just writers’ own opinions and for readers’ reference only. Financial markets are volatile and please be careful of the risks.)NOTICE

Investment involves risk. It is as likely that losses will be incurred rather than profits made as a result of buying and selling investment and financial products. Before investment, you should be aware of all the risks involved and carefully consider your investment objectives, trading experience, and level of risk acceptance. If you have any question, please seek advice from an independent professional advisor.

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