實德金融策略研究部

【貨幣升降機】歐元區不樂觀的經濟展望下,歐元易跌難升

2016-03-02

歐元區不樂觀的經濟展望下,歐元易跌難升
 

歐洲央行行長德拉吉去信給歐洲議會議員,表示政策評估是必須考慮到,先前預計面臨的下行風險已在增加,與此同時,新興市場經濟增長前景不確定性正在升溫。配合著走勢震盪的大宗商品及金融市場,加上地緣政治風險,在這種環境下,歐元區的通脹表現繼續弱於預期。

 

德拉吉亦指,本月會議將會更加深入地分析通脹下滑的潛在第二輪效應,並表示歐洲央行將會在必要時,毫不猶豫地採取行動。

 

先撇開英國脫離歐盟這重大變數不談,以歐元區所面對的困境,並未有機會能夠在短期內獲得解決而言,投資者應會欠缺追入歐元的興趣,歐元仍然有下跌的空間,可以看淡一線至1.0660水準。

 

歐元兌美元日線圖:



郭啟倫

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