實德金融策略研究部

【貨幣升降機】英鎊應會乏力突破1.4500的障礙

2016-03-31

英鎊應會乏力突破1.4500的障礙

 

繼英倫銀行金融政策委員會,在早前的一份有關受全球及國內的金融形勢所影響,英國金融穩定性前景自從去年11月以來,已經出現惡化的金融風險季度報告後,英倫銀行下屬監管銀行及金融業的機構審慎監管局(Prudential Regulation Authority),亦公佈了一連串旨在收緊“購房出租”一族的貸款標準提議。

 

在現時英國房地產市場中,這類購房作為出租投資的隊伍正在日益壯大,同時也引起了英國監管部門的警惕。因為英倫銀行擔心,只要利率保持在低位水準,英國樓市信貸就會有過熱危險。

 

這房地產貸款制定新標準,會針對出租新購房屋的購買樓房人仕,將會面臨更嚴格的收入審查,除了是有樓房過熱危機的擔憂外,金融信貸風險的負面展望,亦會是英倫銀行所擔心的事情。

 

因此,投資者對英國金融及經濟的穩定性會存有疑慮,沽出英鎊的動作會擴大,可能把英鎊兌美元推低至1.4000水準。可以留意當英鎊兌美元反彈至1.4430附近建立淡倉盤,看淡至1.4000水準。

 

英鎊兌美元日線圖:



郭啟倫

電郵: research@successfn.com

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