實德金融策略研究部

【談黃金論價格】金價在區間上落,未能擺脫中國經濟疲弱前景的拖累

2016-03-31

金價在區間上落,未能擺脫中國經濟疲弱前景的拖累

 

黃金價格短期間應會於$1,212美元至$1,255美元範圍上落,主要是因為投資者消化過聯儲局主席耶倫的鴿派加息言論之後,又會因應中國在黃金需求層面上的負面預期而受到拖累。

 

根據亞洲開發銀行(Asian Development Bank, 下稱ADB)最新發佈的一份年度經濟展望指,在亞太地區增長放緩之際,今年中國的經濟增長速度會觸及中國政府所設目標區間的下限,明年的增長速度更將進一步回落。

 

ADB表示,中國的投資活動大幅度放緩下來,特別是在房地產領域及其它資本密集型產業上,這將會繼續對經濟增長構成壓力。

 

故此,在中國經濟疲憊,並向下發展前景,從而對黃金需求層面上的打擊之推斷,金價上升至$1,255美元水準後應會乏力,繼而面對大幅度的回吐整固,再次下試$1,212美元水準的支撐力。

 

黃金價格日線圖:



郭啟倫

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