實德金融策略研究部

【貨幣升降機】美元兌人民幣呈現出向下發展的空間

2016-04-01

美元兌人民幣呈現出向下發展的空間

 

美元兌人民幣已經連續地下跌了五個交易日,投資者應會推斷人民幣已經逐步穩定下來,重新朝著向上發展的走勢而運行。

 

另一方面,中國官方3月份製造業及非製造業採購經理指數剛出臺,兩者皆造好,前者重上盛衰分界線數值50的上方,是去年七月以來的首次(見圖一)。而後者是今年的高位。

 

這兩組資料結果應會對人民幣提供更多的動力,美元兌人民幣短期間應有機會回落至6.4100附近(見圖二)。

 

(圖一)過往十個月中國官方製造業採購經理指數列表:



(圖二)美元兌人民幣日線圖:



郭啟倫

電郵: research@successfn.com

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