實德金融策略研究部

紐元有望上試九個月以來的高位

2016-03-17

紐西蘭第四季國內生產總值較預期為好,這數據結果對紐元應會構成動力,配合著投資者會憧憬紐西蘭經濟增長年率已經在兩年的低位穩定下來(見圖一),買入紐元的信心應會增加。

另一方面,來自美國在短期間不會有加息可能性的拖累,應會導致美元面對新一輪的拆倉動作,這狀況亦有利紐元更上層樓的上升走勢,短線應會有機會測試0.7000水平這九個月以來高位的障礙(見圖二)。

(圖一) 2010 - 2015紐西蘭季度國內生產總值年率圖:


(圖二)紐元兌美元週線圖:


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