實德金融策略研究部

日本央行最新會議紀錄不會抑壓日圓升勢

2016-03-18

日本央行剛發佈了最新的上次會議紀錄,當中表達出日本經濟繼續溫和復蘇,在談及出口方面,汽車相關出口到美國及歐洲有穩固增長,而新興經濟體放緩,影響了日本的出口及生產。

央行官員們在上月的貨幣政策會議上,未有提及日圓偏強或偏弱所帶來對出口的影響,反而是以外圍需求的疲軟來解釋出口狀況。

日圓在該貨幣政策會議後,二月份便隨即拾級而上。投資者應該在押注強日圓沒有使日本政府憂慮日本出口受壓,也相信日圓匯價上升可以令日本居民在消費意欲上有所增強,對日本經濟有推動作用。

故此,日圓的升勢可能只是剛開始,美元兌日圓應會不斷失去支持,下一個短線支持位在107.00水平。

美元兌日圓週線圖:




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