實德金融策略研究部

『貨幣升降機』澳元開始乏力,可以部署看淡一線

2016-03-22

澳元開始乏力,可以部署看淡一線

澳洲一月份領先指標錄得進一步萎縮,已經下降至去年八月以來的低位,有機會再下試更低水平的走勢(見圖一)。這數據結果應會抑壓澳元走勢,配合著澳洲第四季度房屋價格指數亦大幅度下跌,投資者對澳元在七個月的高位可否更上層樓,應會存有疑慮,澳元兌美元有機會逐步轉弱,短線於0.7620水平可以看淡一線(見圖二)。

(圖一)澳洲2008 - 2016一月份領先指標圖:

(圖二)澳元兌美元小時圖:



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