實德金融策略研究部

貨幣升降機

2015-07-20

瑞士央行在今年初1月15日,突然宣佈放棄歐元兌瑞郎匯率在1.20的上限,這突如其來的政策逆轉令向瑞郎急速地大幅升值,令瑞郎在幾小時內飆升近40%。

半年下來,歐元兌瑞郎在1.0400附近已獲得支持,但歐元在歐元區成員國債務危機的負面影响下,兌瑞郎未必有更進一步的上升空間。

 

相反地,美元兌瑞郎在過去兩個星期於0.9500水平找到支持之餘,藉著美元作為迴避聯儲局加息風險的資金避難所角色不斷地擴大,美元兌瑞郎應可在短期間挑戰0.9900水平的阻力,美元兌瑞郎可以看高一線。

 

歐元兌瑞郎週線圖:



郭啟倫

電郵: research@successfn.com

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