Ferris Kwok

澳元應會先升後回預期的關鍵

2017-04-19

澳洲3月份新車銷售錄得改善,而3月份領先經濟指標亦造好,對澳元應會有提振。然而,澳洲央行上次議息會議紀錄指,委員們開始討論國內經濟時表示,勞動力市場情況較預期為弱,總體而言,勞動力使用率的持續過剩導致了低工資增長的結果。

 

另外,家庭消費指標顯示在2017年初略低於預期,經過一月份的平均增長後,二月份的零售銷售價值有所下跌,而家庭對個人理財的看法已跌至低於平均水準。

 

故此,澳元應會先升後回,澳元兌美元在0.7600水準應會調頭下望0.7370水準。

 

澳元兌美元日線圖



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