Ferris Kwok

澳元短線應會呈現出區間上落,但下行空會大於飆升預期

2016-02-29

澳洲第四季公司營運利潤錄得萎縮,而萎縮程度大於預期。投資者應會擔心季度公司營運利潤向下發展,並向下測試2014年的低位-7.5水平(見圖一)。

配合著澳洲出口需求未有正面的憧憬下,投資者追入澳元的信心不會飆升,當澳元確認了於0.7330水平是一大障礙後,澳元的沽盤會有增無減,拖累澳元節節下跌,重試0.7000水平的支撐力(見圖二)。

(圖一)澳洲2008年至2015季度公司營運利潤圖表:



(圖二)澳元兌美元日:




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