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根據美國銀行(Bank of America)最新每月向全球基金經理的查訪結果顯示，現時的樂觀情緒正處於自2021年7月以來的最高位水平。受查訪之基金經理們對科技股的配置處於自2024年7月以來的最高水平，而對大宗商品的配置則處於自2022年底以來的最高水平。這查訪結果在反映出他們可能對環球經濟後市展望的信心，也可能是來自對環球低息環境的前瞻，特別是聯儲局的減息去向之憧憬所至，作為借鏡下，對買入黃金的風險胃納是重要的推動。
另一方面，美國最新出台的10月及11月份非農業就業人數各有升跌，10月份的時候錄得萎縮10.5萬，到11月份的時候又增加了6.4萬，一來一回之後，10月及11月的非農業就業人數數據結果並不理想，而11月份的失業率由4.4%上升至4.6%，這些反映美國就業市場的數據結果，應可強化投資者對聯儲局不會對減息有手鬆情況的寄望，對追捧黃金亦有其推動作用。
可以部署在$4,279美元左右建立好倉盤，短線看高金價一線至$4,350美元水平後止賺，止損在$4,267美元。
黃金價格一小時圖:
郭啟倫
首席分析師
實德金融集團