Markets Analysis

Bullion Market Trend

Bullion Market Trend

金價走勢 倫敦金收報$4,031.62美元，而倫敦銀則收報$59.108美元。 昨日黃金價格在亞洲市開始後，於$4,018美元水平欠缺動力之後向下發展，即日低位$3,959美元在歐洲市早段出現，金價靠穩下來後展現出節節上升的走勢，在美市開始後更一度急升至$4,114美元這即日高位才欠缺承接，金價在其後的美市交易時段展現出回吐走勢，曾經在美市結束前被推低至$4,028美元附近，最終守在$4,031美元樓上水平收市。 美匯指數先升後回，這美元走勢因素推動金價在即日低位錄得超過$155美元的上升幅度才乏力。 另一方面，美國原油價格在亞洲市開始後已經見過即日高位，並且展現出向下發展走勢，油價回軟走勢，舒緩了投資者對聯儲局需要有積極加息去壓抑通脹的負面情緒，利率動向因素的推動下，幫助金價在下跌至$3,959美元附近便能夠找到支持，並且有力走高至$4,114美元附近才欠缺承接。 此外，投資者審慎地等待美國在星期四出台的重磅級就業市場數據結果，去推斷聯儲局在今年打後時間的加息幅度及步伐，因此而欠缺在高位追入黃金的意欲，拖累金價在即日高位錄得接近$87美元的回吐幅度才停止跌勢。 假如今晚稍後時間美國發佈的最新六月份非農業就業人數數據結果，是強化了市場人士對聯儲局有加息基礎的預期的話，黃金價格便有機會受到拖累而向下測試$3,974美元水平的支持力。 金價短線應會在$3,974美元至$4,098美元水平範圍之間走動，一邊在測試$3,974美元水平的支持力，一邊在累積從趁低吸納黃金的意欲升溫，所帶出的反彈動力。 金價短線在$3,974美元水平可看好上望$4,098美元左右，止蝕放在$3,954美元。 白銀價格在$55.88美元水平可看好上望$63.34美元左右，止蝕放在$54.88美元。 郭啟倫 首席分析師 實德金融集團 電話:  (852)3622 5698 電郵:  ferris.kwok@successfn.com

Global Market Overview

昨日環球主要股市回顧 指數名稱 收市報 升 / 跌(-) 升/跌(-)幅度 日經平均指數 70,474.96 412.64 0.59% 恒生指數 22,881.02 – – 滬深300 4,958.98 -20.46 -0.41% 倫敦富時100 10,478.34 -18.78 -0.18% 法蘭克福DAX 25,040.28 44.47 0.18% 巴黎CAC 40 8,337.29 -66.70 -0.79% 道瓊斯工業平均指數 52,305.24 -13.96 -0.03% 標準普爾500 7,483.23 -16.13 -0.22% 納斯達克指數 26,040.03 -173.69 -0.66% 主要貨幣消息及走勢 歐元區6月份整體及核心調和後的消費物價指數錄得下跌，對歐元有抑壓作用，歐元短線可以看淡一線。 美國6月份ADP私營機構新增職位錄得下跌，配合著美國6月份ISM製造業採購經理指數、製造業新訂單指數及製造業價格支付指數皆造差，數據結果對美元有拖累作用，除了兌歐元有反覆上升的機會之外，美元兌其他貨幣短線可以看淡一線。 日本第二季度短觀非製造業指數、所有大型工業資本開支、大型製造業指數及大型製造業展望指數皆造好，對日圓有推動作用，日圓短線可以看高一線。 美元兌主要貨幣走勢預測 歐元兌美元: 看淡下望1.13200 止蝕於1.14700 美元兌日圓: 看淡下望161.500 止蝕於163.500 英鎊兌美元: 看好上望1.33300 止蝕於1.31900 美元兌瑞郎: 看淡下望0.80200 止蝕於0.81600 澳元兌美元: 看好上望0.69500 止蝕於0.68000 紐元兌美元: 看好上望0.57400 止蝕於0.55900 美元兌加元: 看淡下望1.41600 止蝕於1.43100 離岸人民幣: 看淡下望6.77000 止蝕於6.82000 交叉盤走勢預測 歐元/人民幣: 看淡下望7.7000 止蝕於7.7500 歐元兌日圓: 看淡下望184.200 止蝕於185.700… … »Global Market Overview

Investors are awaiting the results of the US June non-farm payrolls report.

The key US non-farm payrolls data for June, to be released later tonight, will provide further clues for investors regarding whether the Federal Reserve has a basis for raising interest rates. If the data is higher than the consensus expectation of 110,000, and the previous figure was revised upwards from 172,000, this favorable job market environment should further increase investors’ expectations that the Fed has a basis for raising interest rates, thus suppressing their risk-averse appetite for buying gold. Conversely,… … »Investors are awaiting the results of the US June non-farm payrolls report.

IPO for Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group) Co., Ltd. (6951.HK)

Dear Clients, IPO for Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group) Co., Ltd. (6951.HK) will be launched in HKEx main board and we now accept Margin / Cash application. If you are interested in subscribing, please use mobile trading apps / login your online trading account to make subscription or contact our company or your account executive to make a telephone recording subscription. SPECIAL PROMOTION: CASH APPLICATION NO HANDLING FEE MARGIN APPLICATION HK$80 HANDLING FEE, up to 90% Margin Financing FREE interest for margin financing For… … »IPO for Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group) Co., Ltd. (6951.HK)

IPO for Befar Group Co., Ltd (6745.HK)

Dear Clients, IPO for Befar Group Co., Ltd (6745.HK) will be launched in HKEx main board and we now accept Margin / Cash application. If you are interested in subscribing, please use mobile trading apps / login your online trading account to make subscription or contact our company or your account executive to make a telephone recording subscription. SPECIAL PROMOTION: CASH APPLICATION NO HANDLING FEE MARGIN APPLICATION HK$80 HANDLING FEE, up to 90% Margin Financing FREE interest for margin financing For any… … »IPO for Befar Group Co., Ltd (6745.HK)

IPO for Rokae (Shandong) Robotics Group Inc. (3752.HK)

Dear Clients, IPO for Rokae (Shandong) Robotics Group Inc. (3752.HK) will be launched in HKEx main board and we now accept Margin / Cash application. If you are interested in subscribing, please use mobile trading apps / login your online trading account to make subscription or contact our company or your account executive to make a telephone recording subscription. SPECIAL PROMOTION: CASH APPLICATION NO HANDLING FEE MARGIN APPLICATION HK$80 HANDLING FEE, up to 90% Margin Financing FREE interest for margin financing For… … »IPO for Rokae (Shandong) Robotics Group Inc. (3752.HK)

IPO for Jiangxi Qiyunshan Food Co., Ltd. (2797.HK)

Dear Clients, IPO for Jiangxi Qiyunshan Food Co., Ltd. (2797.HK) will be launched in HKEx main board and we now accept Margin / Cash application. If you are interested in subscribing, please use mobile trading apps / login your online trading account to make subscription or contact our company or your account executive to make a telephone recording subscription. SPECIAL PROMOTION: CASH APPLICATION NO HANDLING FEE MARGIN APPLICATION HK$80 HANDLING FEE, up to 90% Margin Financing FREE interest for margin financing For… … »IPO for Jiangxi Qiyunshan Food Co., Ltd. (2797.HK)

IPO for EKH Limited (2523.HK)

Dear Clients, IPO for EKH Limited (2523.HK) will be launched in HKEx main board and we now accept Margin / Cash application. If you are interested in subscribing, please use mobile trading apps / login your online trading account to make subscription or contact our company or your account executive to make a telephone recording subscription. SPECIAL PROMOTION: CASH APPLICATION NO HANDLING FEE MARGIN APPLICATION HK$80 HANDLING FEE, up to 90% Margin Financing FREE interest for margin financing For any enquiries, please… … »IPO for EKH Limited (2523.HK)