3 JUL 2025 HKG Interest Rate -240

Bullion Market Trend

金價走勢 倫敦金收報$3,357.63美元，而倫敦銀則收報$36.558美元。 昨日黃金價格在亞洲市開始後至歐洲市場開始前展現出反覆回落的走勢，即日低位$3,327美元在歐洲市開始前出現，金價其後掉頭向上發展，曾經在美市早段於$3,350美元遇上較大的阻力，一度回吐至$3,333美元左右便再次發力攀升，即日高位$3,359美元在美市結束之前出現，最終守在$3,357美元樓上水平收市。 金價能夠在美國市場開始後先回後大幅度反彈，主要是靠著美國出台的六月份ADP私營機構新增職位數據顯注造差，帶出對聯儲局有減息需要的憧憬，以致買入黃金的風險承受意欲升溫所推動。 另外，美匯指數在美市早段於即日高位掉頭節節下跌，這美元因素有助金價在美市早段測試過低位支撐力之後，隨即展現出反彈走勢，逐步走近至$3,360美元左右才力弱。 假若今晚出台的美國六月份非農業就業人數是錄得低於九萬人數的話，投資者應該會增加對聯儲局有減息需要的預期，買入黃金的風險承受意欲應該會高漲，對金價應會提供攀升的動力。 金價短線應會在$3,323美元至$3,374美元水平範圍之間走動，一邊在測試$3,323美元水平的支持力，一邊在累積從趁低吸納黃金對沖特朗普關稅政策風險的需求上升，所帶出的反彈動力。 金價短線在$3,323美元水平可看好上望$3,374美元左右，止蝕放在$3,313美元。 白銀價格在$35.98美元水平可看好上望$36.89美元左右，止蝕放在$35.68美元。 郭啟倫 首席分析師 實德金融集團 電話:  (852)3622 5698 電郵:  ferris.kwok@successfn.com

Global Market Overview

昨日環球主要股市回顧 指數名稱 收市報 升 / 跌(-) 升/跌(-)幅度 日經平均指數 39,762.48 -223.85 -0.56% 恒生指數 24,221.41 149.13 0.62% 滬深300 3,943.68 0.92 0.02% 倫敦富時100 8,774.69 -10.64 -0.12% 法蘭克福DAX 23,790.11 116.82 0.49% 巴黎CAC 40 7,738.42 75.83 0.99% 道瓊斯工業平均指數 44,484.42 -10.52 -0.02% 標準普爾500 6,227.42 29.41 0.47% 納斯達克指數 20,393.13 190.24 0.94% 主要貨幣消息及走勢 日本6月份服務業採購經理指數高於預期及上次，數據結果對日圓有推動作用，日圓短線應該有力回升，可以看高一線。 美國6月份ADP私營機構新增職位數據錄得強差人意的減少3.3萬個職位，假如今晚發佈的6月份非農業就業人數亦是低於預期及上次的話，對美元應該會構成壓力，除了兌歐元會有上升的空間之外，美元兌其他貨幣短線應可看低一線。 歐元區5月份失業率高於預期及上次，對歐元有抑壓作用，歐元短線可以看淡一線。 美元兌主要貨幣走勢預測 歐元兌美元: 看淡下望1.17300 止蝕於1.18800 美元兌日圓: 看淡下望142.700 止蝕於144.400 英鎊兌美元: 看好上望1.37200 止蝕於1.35600 美元兌瑞郎: 看淡下望0.78500 止蝕於0.79900 澳元兌美元: 看好上望0.66400 止蝕於0.64900 紐元兌美元: 看好上望0.61500 止蝕於0.60100 美元兌加元: 看淡下望1.35000 止蝕於1.36400 離岸人民幣: 看淡下望7.13000 止蝕於7.18000 交叉盤走勢預測 歐元/人民幣: 看淡下望8.4300 止蝕於8.4900 歐元兌日圓: 看淡下望168.700 止蝕於170.400… … »Global Market Overview

強差人意的美國就業市場數據利好金價

美國6月份ADP私營機構新增職位數據錄得強差人意的減少3.3萬個職位，遠差於普遍預期的9.5萬個職位增長，及上次由3.7萬個向下調低的2.9萬個職位，這造差的就業市場數據結果，當然會增加投資者對聯儲局有減息需要的憧憬，對吸納黃金的風險胃納有推動作用。假如今晚稍後時間美國出台的6月份非農業就業人數數據結果，是遠低於普遍預期的11萬個的話，對聯儲局有積極考慮減息的寄望應該會進一步擴大，對買入黃金的意欲有所提振，對金價應該會提供向上發展的動力。 可以部署在$3,323美元左右建立好倉盤，短線看高金價一線至$3,374美元水平後止賺，止損在$3,313美元。 黃金價格一小時圖: 郭啟倫 首席分析師 電郵:  ferris.kwok@successfn.com

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